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Im off to Hawaii tomorrow for 10 days......

 

Closed all trading positions...........

 

I'll be checking in periodically

 

For now, I'll leave you with a story about Alan Greenspan:

 

..............................

 

- Made huge bets on the market.

 

- When things went the wrong way, he doubled down.

 

- Borrowed a huge amount of money from "outside sources" to keep the charade going.

 

- Eventually went bust, taking down a largest hedge fund on the planet, wiping out unheard of billions of dollars.

 

- Has an affair with Asian Exotica

 

- Wife leaves him

 

- Sent to prison.

 

- Gets Colon Cancer.

 

- Tries to write a book to make some small coin to survive.

 

Soup would like to hear this story play out in real time.

 

But its really the story of Nick Leeson...

 

Will Greenscum end up the same?

 

"By December 94 the red ink hidden in account 88888 totalled $512 million. Getting increasingly desperate Leeson bet that the Nikkei index would not drop below 19,000 points. At the time this seemed reasonable as the Japanese economy was rebounding after a 30-month recession. Then on the 17th January 1995, a devastating earthquake measuring 7.2 hit the Japanese city of Kobe.

 

The previously stable Nikkei index plummeted by 7% in a week. As the losses grew, Leeson requested extra funds to continue trading, hoping to extricate himself from the mess by more deals. Leeson was counting that there would be a post quake rebound and the Nikki would stabilise at 19,000. There was no hedges, no bets the other way to protect Barings' huge exposures. There was no rebound. Over three months he bought more than 20,000 futures contracts worth about $180,000 each in a vain attempt to move the market. Some three quarters of the $1.3 billion he lost Barrings resulted from these trades. When Barings executives discovered what had happened, they informed the Bank of England that Barings was effectively bust."

 

Leeson Story

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Mr. Google (Senator says...)

 

"Why is your business model the public's problem?"

 

Answer

 

"In recent months, Google has become increasingly vocal about the problem. In regulatory filings made before its August initial public offering, the company reported that it has regularly paid refunds related to fraudulent clicks. "

 

Will they also pay refunds related to a fraudulent IPO?

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