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#929013 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 03:36 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

It would appear....but with the massive 10 year printing is there excess liquid not "invested" to push into stocks to make one final run or is it an all in situation which would then would be no return until the next round of QE infinity kicks in....

 

You are forgetting the supply side of the equation.  Why did the Fed print in the first place, to absorb the supply. Supply is now mushrooming at a rate similar to the TARP. explosion that crashed the market in Sept-Oct. 2008.   https://suremoneyinv...and-youre-next/




#929012 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 03:34 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Now need to clear 2464 to break the second fanline




#929009 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:37 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

My picks are doing just fine. The algo started adding shorts before the downturn.   

 

Daily Trades List for Tuesday, February 6 Is Now +7.2% In 13 Days, Vs Market -6.6%

 

This is cash basis. Assumes no margin. No options. 100% equity on shorts.




#928947 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 05 February 2018 - 09:55 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Bitcoin.  DVURZauX0AAmPfB.jpg




#929014 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 03:44 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Fanline now 2463. 




#929015 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 03:47 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Breakout. ST pattern now boolish. 




#929026 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 05:04 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

So, how much  higher this move. 2 day cycle projection says 2705. Too early for a call on the 3 or 5 day. 




#929023 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 04:36 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Agree Lee and this is most likely the key....however is there built-up reserves anywhere Fed or private or that is stepping in at moments like this?

 

No, but there's plenty of short covering. 




#929022 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 04:20 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

2 day cycle projection  shot up to 2695. Gah dah? 




#929016 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 03:47 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Next TL 2665. 




#929007 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:25 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

You talking about short covering?

 

Margin calls on long positions. But also margin calls resulting from the short vol trade.  

 

I don't think that we have seen the worst of this.  I expect massive forced selling. 




#929008 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:30 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Madness not sure there is enough printing to make this move but just maybe.....I can see a bound off 2500 to a failed attempt around 2850 as the outside possible move.....Me will be looking to enter back into shorts/vol around 2750 if.....

 

The Fed is pulling money OUT of the financial markets. The Treasury is pulling money OUT of the financial markets.  Dealers are mispositioned. 

 

It's bad. As bad as I have ever seen. Doesn't  preclude a reaction rally, of course.  

 

https://suremoneyinv...and-youre-next/




#929005 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:23 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

OK. They have 5 days. So the worst of it won't be until Friday. What about futures. What are the rules for meeting margin calls there. 




#928982 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 10:42 AM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

5 day cycle projection looks around 2575.  




#928965 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:26 AM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

These charts are breaking bad. 




#928949 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 05 February 2018 - 10:08 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

ES down 60. 




#928994 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 12:10 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Triangle breakout to the downside would be spectacular. However, equally so to the upside. 




#928983 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 10:45 AM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

They already blasted below the 3 day of 2635 and 2 day of 2610.  




#928995 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 12:13 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

On the hair trigger of a downside breakout at 2637. 




#929000 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:17 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

2 day cycle projection 2675




#929001 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:18 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Did you get a notice?

Usually a notification follow by a warning follow by a liquidation email.

 

No. I don't use margin.  I'm thinking about the market. In the old days, they started selling around 2:30.  I don't know if that still holds. 




#928997 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Obliterated optimism

Posted by DrStool on 06 February 2018 - 02:04 PM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Been a long time since I faced a margin call. What time do the brokers start selling your shit? 




#930070 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Greasy grind

Posted by DrStool on 29 March 2018 - 10:53 AM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Looks like a pennant on the hourly. If SPX cash clears 2625, 2 day cycle projection would be 2640. 

 

OK, so now it's a flag. :lol:  

 

Above 2633, it's a boner. 




#930068 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Greasy grind

Posted by DrStool on 29 March 2018 - 10:41 AM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

Looks like a pennant on the hourly. If SPX cash clears 2625, 2 day cycle projection would be 2640. 




#930069 World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Greasy grind

Posted by DrStool on 29 March 2018 - 10:42 AM in The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board

And if it doesn't... Down the  shitter we go! :lol:






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