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Wild Gyrations Wednesday


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If you know of a worthy blog or message board that might be interested in that article, please feel free to post the link.

 

I need all the help I can get. :P

Done. Gave you a big buildup a snippet, a chart and link. RE genius, sold top, won't buy again 'til he does, blah blah blah, on a huge forum of well-heeled members. If I ever get to hellandgone Quebec or Happy Acres Florida, you owe me a meal. Now take your meds and say your prayers for tolerance of fools. :o :D :D

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Dr Copper at pivotal area again.

 

A case could made for massive top already in place, and the first down side target hit and bounced as expected...

 

Now we decide whether aim is gonna be taken on 200 day, or the rally continues....

 

Mutli-timeframe look....

 

 

Thanks for the charts and the heads up. :D

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Done. Gave you a big buildup a snippet, a chart and link. RE genius, sold top, won't buy again 'til he does, blah blah blah, on a huge forum of well-heeled members. If I ever get to hellandgone Quebec or Happy Acres Florida, you owe me a meal. Now take your meds and say your prayers for tolerance of fools. :o :D :D

 

You got it!

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Some thoughts on the Fall

 

Financial panics during the autumn are fairly common due to the seasonality of mass mood swings. As is widely recognized, the stock market has a tendency to fall during the Fall. In fact, thirteen of the twenty worst single-day percentage drops in the DJIA occurred between late-September and early-November, i.e., 65% of the twenty largest daily drops in the stock market occurred in a time interval that constitutes less than 14% of the annual calendar.

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average: Worst Single-Day Declines

(Dow Jones Industrial Average, percentage change)

 

 

Percentage

Date Decline

__________________________________________

October 19, 1987 -22.61%

October 28, 1929 -12.82%

October 29, 1929 -11.73%

November 6, 1929 -9.92%

December 18, 1899 -8.72%

August 12, 1932 -8.40%

March 14, 1907 -8.29%

October 26, 1987 -8.04%

October 15, 2008 -7.87%

July 21, 1933 -7.84%

October 18, 1937 -7.75%

December 1, 2008 -7.70%

October 9, 2008 -7.33%

February 1, 1917 -7.24%

October 27, 1997 -7.16%

October 5, 1932 -7.15%

September 17, 2001 -7.13%

September 24, 1931 -7.07%

July 20, 1933 -7.07%

September 29, 2008 -6.98%

 

 

There is a tendency for collective panics to peak into the 27th and 28th days of the 7th month of a lunar year on the Jewish calendar (11 days after Sukkot - the Feast of Tabernacles). In his award-winning article, Autumn Panics: A Calendar Phenomenon (1998), Carolan points out how the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes, along with the 1997 Hong Kong stock market crash, climaxed into the 27th and 28th days of the 7th lunar month, with the "black" crash days occurring on those specific lunar calendar days:

post-2079-1254362537.jpg

post-2079-1254362557.jpg

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Some thoughts on the Fall

 

Financial panics during the autumn are fairly common due to the seasonality of mass mood swings. As is widely recognized, the stock market has a tendency to fall during the Fall. In fact, thirteen of the twenty worst single-day percentage drops in the DJIA occurred between late-September and early-November, i.e., 65% of the twenty largest daily drops in the stock market occurred in a time interval that constitutes less than 14% of the annual calendar.

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average: Worst Single-Day Declines

(Dow Jones Industrial Average, percentage change)

 

 

Percentage

Date Decline

__________________________________________

October 19, 1987 -22.61%

October 28, 1929 -12.82%

October 29, 1929 -11.73%

November 6, 1929 -9.92%

December 18, 1899 -8.72%

August 12, 1932 -8.40%

March 14, 1907 -8.29%

October 26, 1987 -8.04%

October 15, 2008 -7.87%

July 21, 1933 -7.84%

October 18, 1937 -7.75%

December 1, 2008 -7.70%

October 9, 2008 -7.33%

February 1, 1917 -7.24%

October 27, 1997 -7.16%

October 5, 1932 -7.15%

September 17, 2001 -7.13%

September 24, 1931 -7.07%

July 20, 1933 -7.07%

September 29, 2008 -6.98%

 

 

There is a tendency for collective panics to peak into the 27th and 28th days of the 7th month of a lunar year on the Jewish calendar (11 days after Sukkot - the Feast of Tabernacles). In his award-winning article, Autumn Panics: A Calendar Phenomenon (1998), Carolan points out how the 1929 and 1987 stock market crashes, along with the 1997 Hong Kong stock market crash, climaxed into the 27th and 28th days of the 7th lunar month, with the "black" crash days occurring on those specific lunar calendar days:

post-2079-1254362537.jpg

post-2079-1254362557.jpg

 

The 27th-29th days of the current lunar cycle are Oct 14th-16th.

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All Over The Place – Professional Edition

by Lee Adler, Wednesday, September 30, 2009, in Professional Edition, Today's Markets | Permalink |Comments (0) Edit Cycle based stock screening data was all over the place, with 5 measures weaker and 4 stronger. There’s a lot of signal noise because there has been very little oscillation and moving averages are tightly bunched, enabling repeated crossovers in a short time span. Our focus should be on the 6 month cycle status indications. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.

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