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IDS World Markets Fri 13th February 09


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According to Bill Mclaren the very strong "90 day period" from a low is fast approaching. He calls the trading range "distribution."

 

"there is now a probability the downtrend should resume next week."

 

"If the November lows are broken as I am forecasting the market will move back above those lows on the next rally. That will occur because that is how bear campaigns behave this late in the trend."

 

Bill Mclaren http://www.mclarenreport.net.au/articles/a...ROPE/Page1.html

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NVIDIA: "For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2009, revenue was $481.1 million compared to $1.2 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2008, a decrease of 60 percent."

http://sev.prnewswire.com/computer-electro...10022009-1.html

 

"Everyone in the market suffered reduced shipments ? some suffered more than others. In this quarter, Nvidia has taken back some market share from AMD?s ATI division. For more detail see Table 2."

 

http://jonpeddie.com/press-releases/detail..._shipments_dive

 

Cheap excess credit, tax windfalls and accounting fraud rather then innovation and productivity have been the key economic drivers. Big shock to tech bulls!!

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Worth printing and re-reading carefully, imho:

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Bingo!

Thanks - I thought it was important, too.

The conversation here turns from time to time about efforts to guide the thinking of friends & family to what we understand here to be the dire reality. This was one of those rare pieces from a familiar publication that might serve the purpose.

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Worth printing and re-reading carefully, imho:

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Thx, great read...

 

makes great points about why what congress is doing now is pretty much barking up the wrong tree...

 

short summary....we need to liquidate/restructure the zombies, not keep them on life support, cuz the dollars to service the debt just aint there....

 

And if prior cycles are any indication, we got a long way to go on the debt defaltion....

 

chart from the article...

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Thx, great read...

 

makes great points about why what congress is doing now is pretty much barking up the wrong tree...

 

short summary....we need to liquidate/restructure the zombies, not keep them on life support, cuz the dollars to service the debt just aint there....

 

And if prior cycles are any indication, we got a long way to go on the debt defaltion....

 

chart from the article...

 

Based on that, and assuming history repeats to a degree, looks as though we are at the start of our own "lost decade"

 

This is gonna suck.

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