Hiding Bear Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Welcome to B4 The Bell! Bears have the ball, and were on the ball yestreday with their predictions here. Take note - Doc is raising his hurricane warning flag high today! Across America, War Means Jobs Defense Spending Pumps New Life Into Small or Dying Towns It is impossible to know how many of the 708,000 jobs created in the past three months are defense-related, since the Labor Department does not track defense contractor employment. But anecdotal evidence suggests the contribution is significant. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/artic...-2004May10.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrStool Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Chris Mathews made a point last night that hit me like a brick. The military brass is happy to cooperate in this investigation because they know the scandal goes all the way to the top, and they hate Rummy. He evidently knew about and approved how things were run at the prison, including prisoner interrogation. What Congress is going to want to know is what did Bush really know, and when did he know it. This could be as big, or bigger, than Watergate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrStool Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Beginnings of A Bottom But Much Work To Be Done Your Golden Stool, including short and long term updated charts and price targets, is loaded. Even if you are not a goldbug, you should check out the Golden Stool. It's in your Anals daily. Take a subscribatory and download the Golden Stool RIGHT NOW! 30 Day Intro Subscribatory. Just $16.99! Get In RIGHT NOW!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Doc, Do you 'generally' agree with ths statement : " The most reliable cycle besides the 4 year cycle , has been the 18 month cycle. Sometimes the 9 month misses, but rarely does the 18 month. The most recent 18 month cycle bottoms going back are as follows. They were all important time frames. Mar/Apr 2003 Sep/Oct 2001 Mar/Apr 2000 Sep/Oct 1998 Mar/Apr 1997 The next one is due Sep/Oct of this year. Based on action to this point, there is a very good chance the Sep/Oct time frame will be important. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Bernie Scaeffer just done on Crapvision ..they gave him a whole 5 minutes to go over why he is very bearish. Heard Prechter was yesterday. Can anyone confirm ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henny Penny Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 The ususal "our sheet dont steenk" (SDS) curtain is being hung up before the show starts ( stock futures UP, Bond UP, Dollar UP, Gold DOWN, Oil DOWN). This is essential to pack people into the theater. Of course when ths curtain opens the real show may look very different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 SOooo, this is the NEW WORLD ORDER........a continueous state of war and employment-growth ONLY in the ARMAMENTS (service) sector. Why should anyone TRUST any Machiavellian politicalican, broker or banker......EVER? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
depends Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 For you Prince fans ... comedy relief http://www.comedycentral.com/mp/play.php?r...215_prince.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Doc..... Last evening the rant was that Mutual Fund holders NEVER sell but ride it out. I happen to be part of that 1/10000 of 1% that got out rather than ride it out. The hit was mostly "earnings", but some capital was involved. No one is ever going to use my sweat, blood and tears ($) without adequate and just positive compensation. Positive compensation is after commissions, taxes and inflation. Who says an old dog cannot learn new tricks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alceringa Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Chris Mathews made a point last night that hit me like a brick. The military brass is happy to cooperate in this investigation because they know the scandal goes all the way to the top, and they hate Rummy. He evidently knew about and approved how things were run at the prison, including prisoner interrogation. And if that is true, which it may well be, then "the brass" had to know also. If so, their role in the matter is perhaps more dispicable than Rumsfield's. "The brass" is obliged by national law, personal honor and the traditions of military service to refuse to obey any order that is illegal. Without question, tolerating or encouraging violations of the Geneva Convention for treatment of detainees is illegal and a disgrace to anyone who has ever worn the uniform with pride and integrity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrStool Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Doc, Do you 'generally' agree with ths statement : " The most reliable cycle besides the 4 year cycle , has been the 18 month cycle. Sometimes the 9 month misses, but rarely does the 18 month. The most recent 18 month cycle bottoms going back are as follows. They were all important time frames. Mar/Apr 2003 Sep/Oct 2001 Mar/Apr 2000 Sep/Oct 1998 Mar/Apr 1997 The next one is due Sep/Oct of this year. Based on action to this point, there is a very good chance the Sep/Oct time frame will be important. " BDK- I track the 18 month cycle on all charts, both daily and weekly, and it is a critical part of the weekly long term forecast in the Anals each week. It is the most important cycle for long term positioning. As for regularity and dependability, the normal variance in this cycle is 6-12 months. It is not possible to identify an 18 month cycle low without the appropriate indicator periodicities and cycle envelopes. Time alone is insufficient. A price low and a cycle low are not the same thing. They can occur at the same time, or they may not. An 18 month cycle low usually occurs over a period of two to six months, as the last low did. What was absolutely clear and unmistakeable was that an 18 month cycle high was occurring in January-April of this year, when bullishness was at its peak. The initial signal on the cycle indicators came in January. What is not clear is the likely timing of the next 18 month cycle low, because the last low covered such a long period, and because of the normal variance in the cycle. September/October is toward the end of the most probable window and is a good guess. So is June, except that the indicators appear to be at least 6 weeks away from a low. Either way, we have time. Keep in mind that the most dramatic declines come as a cycle is coming into the latter stages of the down phase. Watch the progress of the 18 month cycle indicators for the market, major market sectors, and leading stocks. Click the link below, and get in RIGHT NOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Chris Mathews made a point last night that hit me like a brick. The military brass is happy to cooperate in this investigation because they know the scandal goes all the way to the top, and they hate Rummy. He evidently knew about and approved how things were run at the prison, including prisoner interrogation. What Congress is going to want to know is what did Bush really know, and when did he know it. This could be as big, or bigger, than Watergate. Agreed. Still think news is just noise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 QUOTE (DrStool @ May 11 2004, 06:25 AM) Chris Mathews made a point last night that hit me like a brick. The military brass is happy to cooperate in this investigation because they know the scandal goes all the way to the top, and they hate Rummy. He evidently knew about and approved how things were run at the prison, including prisoner interrogation. What Congress is going to want to know is what did Bush really know, and when did he know it. This could be as big, or bigger, than Watergate. Check John W. Dean's Worse than Watergate :grin: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 Thanks Doc for the detailed response as you do most times in the Anals. Crapvision Alert !!! ========= Steve 'Lies' man said 1/2 hour ago that he is 'hearing' that the friday Inflation figure will come in on very low end I still cant believe he was allowed to say that without expanding but it seemed to me that he trying on behalf of the Matrix to add rocket fuel to the current futures SPX futures situation into Friday when the Infl figue will be HIGh and start the another leg of El Cliffo OR Maybe I just watch too much Crapvision - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rog Posted May 11, 2004 Report Share Posted May 11, 2004 VP Cheney going in today for a "routine" check of his pacemaker. Lots of chatter that he may run into some health problems before the Repub conv. So that shruby can distance himself from some of VPs political baggage and to put in a viable succesor. Condie and Colin are the favorites at this point. FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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