richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 Quite a day for the real Kodiaks. As expected the market headed lower at the open. Many including myself were looking for a bounce. It leveled off at mid-day. We waited for the big feed to kick in but then the chute didn't open. Who stole the parachute? At three o'clock gravity took over and the index had a Nasty fall landing with a thud at the bell. Yeah I know I'm no Mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 Here is what the last three days looked like. Quite a drop for the NASDAQ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 We've moved Night Stool back over to the main board page for easier navigation. Please feel free to add what you want onto the thread. Only one rule on Night Stool. No Whining Night Stool logo by anoscope. If the live charts don't update you need to refresh your screen. We don't know and neither do they. Doc Economic Calendar Calendar Earnings Calendar Market Summary and Diary, Adv Dec by Volume and Issues, New Highs and Lows https://www.bigcharts.com/custom/scottrade-...com/markets.asp FT World News Foreign Exchange Rates - Major Currencies CRB Index CRB Components World Indices The Big One. Almost everthing at a glance. THE Big Picture. The Big One Money Flow and Mr. Market. Follow the Money. TOCOM Heavy Metal and Commodes Globex Flash Quotes MRCI Quotes Quotes Quotes NDX Future NDX Futures Link S&P 500 Future S&P Futures Link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 To See the Asian Markets Live Charts Click Here Asia At A Glance Fast Loading The US Dollar 24 hours Gold spot price See Stool's Gold with Yosh and Doctor Au for a complete gold report. Gold and Silver Gold. Gold Stock Index Trannies. DOW Transports Don't forget about Doc's great resource center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anoscope Posted December 10, 2002 Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 I updated the icon on the weakend night stool you can remove the anascope credit too (it's anoscope or just 'ol ano) thanks for all the hard work ya'll do every night on the thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 Night Stool has begun intermediate-term analysis and trading. We hope this will be educational. As in we will learn together. Remember we are all supposed to be big boys and girls here. Do you own homework. Your trades are your responsibility. Please add your ideas, questions and input. Over the next few days we will slowly get warmed up . This is going to be a top down approach. Emphasis will be on price based indicators although secondary indicators will be used for fine tuning and to give heads up. This chart is from last night's thread. It is an attempt at the 5, 6, 7 and 10 year ROC's. I want to get comfortable with this to place us in time and space. They seem to peak in 1999 and 2000. As we go along I will try to isolate the actual peaks. Of course with longer term cycles peaks can last for months or even years. This is a weekly chart. I am using the S&P as it is easier to isolate the cycles. The Nasty is more difficult. In general these two indices move in sync so the S&P can be used as a proxy for the Nasty. Check out that 10 year (250 ROC). Beautiful smooth curve and top. Check out the right side. Now starting to move below the zero line. In case you are keeping score and think my math is whacked I use lengths approximately half of the desired period. Now I want to try to isolate the tops on each of these. The ten year put in an extended top from first quarter 1999 to first quarter 2000. The last peak was 03/13/00, and 07/12/99 was the highest The seven year had a double peak second quarter of 1998 with the highest on 04/13/98 and then another peak on 07/13/98 coinciding with a peak in the cash index. The six year made a series of peaks, 10/06/97 thru 07/12/99 with 07/12/99 being the highest and coinciding with a major peak in the cash index. One peak occured 07/13/98 just prior to the '98 crash. The five year also made a series of peaks with the last and highest on 01/25/99. All of these peaked prior to the ultimate top of the cash index. This is what I see using the ROC. When I get my new Metastock going I'll redo this exercise with the stochastics and other tools available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThorAss Posted December 10, 2002 Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 A little self-promotion: Patterns being what they are, the PMs is set for a major unexpected upside move tomorrow (Tuesday). I'm talking 5 - 10 Hewey points. Maybe as a result of a POG breakout. May not happen but let's face it, the patterns have been repeating themselves almost exactly as I've predicted lately including today's inside day (in the upper half of the previous day's range). Don't believe me, check out Dr. Gold's prediction over in the outhouse, I mean outpost. Come to where the flavour is, come to Stool's Gold. Dr.Au PS: Hi Rich, how they hangin'? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 Thor I'm so busy I don't know whether to sh*t or go blind. Stoolies gold gleams no brighter than at Dr. Au's. Stool's Gold *********************************** Ano sorry about the misspelling and thanks again. Alceringa loved your work. :wink2: *********************************** Patterns can often fail. What distinquishes one from another? It is the cycle charts. Cycle charts Without them you can't accurately predict which way any pattern will resolve. I believe Doc and Hurst back me up on that statement. If you do not subscribe to Doc's Anal's you are going into battle without a very valuable weapon. If you do not subscribe to Doc's Anal's you are missing the most important thing on this site by an order of magnitute. The saying "penny wise and pound foolish" was never more apt. For nothing you get me and I'm an idiot. Candlestick Charts Full Explanation Formation Candlesticks are formed using the open, high, low and close. Without opening prices, candlestick charts are impossible to draw. If the close is above the open, then a hollow candlestick (usually displayed as white) is drawn. If the close is below the open, then a filled candlestick (usually displayed as black) is drawn. The hollow or filled portion of the candlestick is called the body (also referred to as the "real body"). The long thin lines above and below the body represent the high/low range and are called shadows (also referred to as wicks and tails). The high is marked by the top of the upper shadow and the low by the bottom of the lower shadow. Don't be stoolpid. Read It. Aroon Developed by Tushar Chande in 1995, the Aroon is an indicator system that can be used to determine whether a stock is trending or not and how strong the trend is. "Aroon" means "Dawn's Early Light" in Sanskrit and Chande choose that name for this indicator since it is designed to reveal the beginning of a new trend. Aroon Positive Directional Indicator (+DI) When the ADX Indicator is selected, SharpCharts plots the Positive Directional Indicator (+DI), Negative Directional Indicator (-DI) and Average Directional Index (ADX). ADX and DMI Stochastic Oscillator Overview Developed by George C. Lane in the late 1950s, the Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that shows the location of the current close relative to the high/low range over a set number of periods. Closing levels that are consistently near the top of the range indicate accumulation (buying pressure) and those near the bottom of the range indicate distribution (selling pressure). STO - Stochastics On Balance Volume (OBV) Joe Granville introduced the On Balance Volume (OBV) indicator in his 1963 book, Granville's New Key to Stock Market Profits. This was one of the first and most popular indicators to measure positive and negative volume flow. On Balance Volume Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 How the Kondratieff Cycle Might Play Out There is a very important point that many deflation advocates seem to be ignoring: Unlike Kondratieff winters of past eras, a modern Kondratieff winter does not necessarily have to follow in like fashion. I believe Ian Gordon and Robert Prechter are right about a winter coming, i.e., massive recessionary forces descending upon America and the world. We are confronting the end phase of the 60-70 year cycle that is now in its fourth repeat over the past 240 years. The fact that it must play out is, in my opinion, inevitable. But HOW it plays out is, by no means, set in stone. This is because we can now intervene with monetary and political policies that can alter the nature of the winter phase of the cycle. We can change its form. Article On Gold-Eagle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted December 10, 2002 Author Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 Last one then bed. In honor of today we should contemplate the NASDUCK. Daily chart showing the 10-13 week and 6-7 week cycles. Both headed lower. I drew some intermediate-term E-Waves or at least my idea of them. I like the butterfly. Some think we are in a 3 of 3 which they claim is like stepping into an elevator shaft. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goldmember Posted December 10, 2002 Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 Emma Crosby all week on Wake Up Call on Procto. Oooh, Emma.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longOnUranus Posted December 10, 2002 Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 itoldjaso-phislammajamma....gladididntsellmycallsyesterday...almostwillbreakevennow afterdropyesterday...thismarketsucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phatbubble Posted December 10, 2002 Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 omiGOD it's so EXCITING! it's the NEW BULL MARKET!!!! just LOOK at those FYOOOOOOOOOOTURES!!!!! .... .... ... ............ ...... ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fxfox Posted December 10, 2002 Report Share Posted December 10, 2002 hope that futures topped out, cause i opened short position in DAX at 3103 this morning, now DAX at 3130, if futures topped, no problem for position, but if they saved monster style 7 billion feed from yesterday for using it today then MON DIEU! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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