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What Is It About 3965? 11/30/22


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THE low is in.

The FED had to save both the BoE‘s and SNB‘s ass. That WAS already the stress in the system.

If the FED wouldnt have come to rescue the UK pension fund would have gone kaput and if they would have not come to help the SNB Credit Suisse would no longer exist, with massive implications for the global financial system.

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13 minutes ago, SiP said:

they went thru 4030 with such a speed.

bull keep kicking.

Which is funny. take a look at euro stoxx50 or Dow, we are close to all time high! such a difference between twitter/media narrative and index value.

 

The S&P in Euros is exactly 100 points away from its all time high.

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Just so you know, the moment of truth for this rally tomorrow will be 4167-70, if it gets there. 

Ciao!

And now, in the immortal words of the great John Facenda, 

Do have a nice night, and a good day tomorrow. Good night all. 

 

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50 minutes ago, fxfox said:

THE low is in.

The FED had to save both the BoE‘s and SNB‘s ass. That WAS already the stress in the system.

If the FED wouldnt have come to rescue the UK pension fund would have gone kaput and if they would have not come to help the SNB Credit Suisse would no longer exist, with massive implications for the global financial system.

Which hat will you be eating, Tyrolean, Bavarian, Alpine or Sombrero.......? 😀

 

seems they are always out to save the world, from themselves and their friends......

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Poopwell could have said 1000 things yesterday. He did choose the most dovish one. That is the message.

The FED already pissed pants. If that directly leads to new QE from March 23 on or so we will see.

There are macro things the FED can‘t control: If de-globalization goes on, which is in itself inflationary, the FED can‘t do much about it. So rates would habe to stay somewhat higher, but rates of 3 or 4% are not that much of a problem for stocks.

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TRAINING THE MARKET DOGS

And so the F$ED is now pumping out the synthetic QE. 

All to train the market dogs....

Constant re-inforcement....the reward....the doggy treat of a quick market up. 

What quadrant are we in

The real QT, synthetic QE quadrant .....

We have left the real QT synthetic QT quadrant behind...

The best quadrant for short sellers. 

But stocks still overvalued and should be trading at 3000.

SiPs great chart above suggests we will eventualy get there.

 

The FED has become quite tricky

Not only do you have to contend with sudden changes from QE to QT and from QT to QE

You have to contend with sudden changes between synthetic QE and synthetic QT as well.

The FED likes to really mix it up........

Both at the physical and psycological level.

All in order to confuse, bamboozle and confound Mr Market.

Notice how they rolled out the synthetic QT in the middle of 2021 which was followed by not much real QT in 2022.

Now they are rolling out the synthetic QE at end 2022 to be followed by.......

Probably not much QE in 2023.

 

 

 

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