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Bears in the Woods 9/9/22


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I have a cheap charting service.......(is that their selling point).......

Long terms says all charts are higher.........Rain or Shine

The "Buyers" won again.....bailouts are getting bigger and broader......

QE ENERGY.......What is next.......QE AIR

Looking at various..... over the Holiday Weekend (UK) and the  (US) N.F.L. Efilniklufesin .....

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COT data is out:

https://www.cftc.gov/dea/options/financial_lof.htm
 

Not sure if that data is already in those charts at Barchart:

https://www.barchart.com/futures/commitment-of-traders/interactive-charts/ES*0
 

Large specs went long a little bit, but nothing special??? At least I see nothing which comes even close to that chart of Sentimentrader.

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Better we stick with that liquidity stuff and ordinary TA. Sentiment is just a reflection of that, it is lagging, not leading.

One should keep in mind that it is not the case that nothing has happened yet. A lot has happened in 2022 already. Look at ARKK and all those fallen angels, look at Netflix, look at Meta, even at Mafiasoft.

Always have your list ready with high beta fallen angels, They gonna bomb higher once the FED reverses. Teladoc looks cheap now at 30, but maybe it goes to 3, who knows…

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11 hours ago, fxfox said:

Better we stick with that liquidity stuff and ordinary TA. Sentiment is just a reflection of that, it is lagging, not leading.

One should keep in mind that it is not the case that nothing has happened yet. A lot has happened in 2022 already. Look at ARKK and all those fallen angels, look at Netflix, look at Meta, even at Mafiasoft.

Always have your list ready with high beta fallen angels, They gonna bomb higher once the FED reverses. Teladoc looks cheap now at 30, but maybe it goes to 3, who knows…

Correct. We've been in a bear market for 9 months in stocks, and the damage has been breathtaking in some sectors. A 6 week rally would be normal.  

And the bond market has been a catastrophe for 2 years. That's a secular bear, and the mainstream media just recognized that bonds were in a bear market last week. So that's due for a rally, but I don't think it will amount to much. 

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