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An Important Reminder


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Cutting the rate too low, in addition to keep the mal-investments alive, have profound negative effect on pension funds. Two primary classes of pension fund asset are stocks and bonds. The former has been in dog house for past 3 years. While the value of latter has moved up (assuming ratings have not changed) sharply due to the drop in interest rate, the normial yield is now too low for many pension funds to meet its obligation. If the rate of 30 year UST is around 4.9% and a pension fund needs to have 8-9% return, one has to allocate more asset into stocks (which is presently over-valued) and high yield junk bonds. In addition, when retirees decide to take lump sums, the low interest rate, which leads to low discount rate, require the fund hand out a larger sum of present amount.

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