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Wending 2/10/22


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Definitions from Oxford Languages

wend

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gerund or present participle: wending

go in a specified direction, typically slowly or by an indirect route. "they wended their way across the city"

 

Merrily we wend along, wend along, wend along

Heading for 4613.

The latest 5 day cycle projection.

The measured move target of the base breakout was 4600-4610. 

Hey, why not!

tvc_512dbc3aba48f922b30115067c19736d.png

Unfortunately for bears, if they break 4494.80 on the ES, S&P fugutures, that would make a higher high, which would confirm an uptrend and call into question whether we are in the first leg of a bear market. 

Raggedy Market Has Ambitions

The purple line on the chart is buttcoin. Stocks had been the buttcoin with a one or two day lag until last week. Since I noticed that, now they're out of sync, of course. 

 Here's the daily chart of BTC. It's at a very interesting juncture as it attacks the upper channel parallel. A move above 45,500 would be bullish. Below 43,500, bearish. 

tvc_97fdfd33a6216b723378e9dd2094b751.png

 

Meanwhile the bond bear market, which I called almost from the beginning, is now 18 months along, and still in its early stages, in my view. The 1 year cycle projection is 2.0-2.10 and the high base breakout conventional measured move target is 2.35-2.40. 

tvc_e2731e1770c2a7d80db21c03059c207a.png

This time, I don't think the Fed has a magic bullet out of this. 

Don’t Be Fooled, The Economy is Still Growing And Still Bearish

 

On to the yellow stuff, Goldilocks some gains. This is the hourly view. Rising steadily, but still stuck in this infernal range.

tvc_9133f29dbc05e1c539c463b93df67dd5.png

Waiting for Gold Oh

That's all for now, folks!

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1 hour ago, potatohead said:

Lee,

I see a lot of confidence in the Fed and Lorie Logan, yet the yields continue to back up while RRP remains near highs, does it feel like the spinning top is beginning to wobble?

 
 
 
 
 
 

 

Just finishing a report. To be posted within an hour. 

I don't understand these guys' jargon, but as usual, they're behind the 8 ball. I expected the RRPs to be drawn down up until a month ago. But it's not happening. I took note of it in the last report, and gave my inferences from that. 

More to come in this report, but on the RRPs, just repeating what I wrote on Feb 3. 

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3 minutes ago, DrStool said:

Just finishing a report. To be posted within an hour. 

I don't understand these guys' jargon, but as usual, they're behind the 8 ball. I expected the RRPs to be drawn down up until a month ago. But it's not happening. I took note of it in the last report, and gave my inferences from that. 

More to come in this report, but on the RRPs, just repeating what I wrote on Feb 3. 

at this point, you have been right on the mark. very logical and measured approach. love the constructive humor as well.

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23 hours ago, DrStool said:

They haven't touched the RRP cash yet. They're doing this with smoke, mirrors, and payday loans. 

exactly to my point.....other tools...just wait for the blow off top that takes 8 or 9 months to complete...

___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I woke up at 2am with a start...I realized that my response was stupid...to clarify...which may also be stupid but it will be at the least different stupid.

What i meant was.     "..... just wait till they start using the RRP  to keep this BULL alive for 8 or 9 months as it blows off..

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