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Well Protected Market 12/23/21

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I'm on a train back to Warsaw. There are about 100 passengers on this car. I took precautions. 

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The bulls are also well protected. 

For now.  5 day cycle projection 4740-50.

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But the time bomb goes 

tick

tock

tick

tock

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Get Ready for a Slow Moving, but Perfect Storm

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“There's a shocking lack of any attempt at avoiding getting the virus here. People are cavalier about masking, despite new government restrictions. This is going to get much much worse. The death rate will go through the roof.”

——————

We went skiing in Tahoe for a couple days/nights in the past week. Had to walk narrow hallways and ride in elevators with others to transit between our condo and the slopes.  There were posted signs indicating masks were “required” indoors, but half our trips in the elevator included others without masks, while we & our kids had N95s. Probably mutual incomprehension. 

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1932, 1982, 2003 bottoms were from multi-year drops or flats with false “capitulations” along the way.  2009, 2011, and 2020 bottoms were brief and Fed-supported recoveries were quick.

If and when we get another drop, if the Fed truly has lost its restorative powers due to inflation, buying the dips too early could again become a thing due to paradigms and mass conditioning.

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17 minutes ago, BreakOut said:

1932, 1982, 2003 bottoms were from multi-year drops or flats with false “capitulations” along the way.  2009, 2011, and 2020 bottoms were brief and Fed-supported recoveries were quick.

If and when we get another drop, if the Fed truly has lost its restorative powers due to inflation, buying the dips too early could again become a thing due to paradigms and mass conditioning.

Even worse, Fixed Income products have been destroyed......

Can't play it safe this time with 0% interest rates.

 

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