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Channel Broken, But Uptrend Intact 4/7/21

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There's a slight break in the beautiful uptrend channel on the hourly chart, but as long as they're above 4055, the uptrend will remain intact. The 5 day cycle projection is only 4056. The down phase projects to stay flat at this point. Cycle low due today. 

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I'm not too concerned about the negative divergence via the indicators. Only if they drop into negative territory might it mean something.

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Here is today's stock screen output. 

This is raw data. These are not recommendations. They represent charts that have triggered short term signals near key cyclical support or resistance levels. Pick through these and see if there are any that you like from your own charts. Feel free to post your charts here with comments. 

Today's box score, 25 buys and 13 sells. One of the sells was an inverse ETF, so it was a bullish signal. Bulls win today's screen game 26-12, a little less than yesterday's 30-7.  This is continued follow through from March 28 when there were 155 buy signals, indicating the initial cyclical breadth momentum thrust of a 6 month cycle upturn.

It is normal for new signals to diminish as a trend progresses, simply because so many stocks have already triggered. The remaining universe of stocks that have not recently triggered buy signals is shrinking. It also means that the risk reward ratio is becoming gradually less favorable. Obviously the risk/reward is most favorable in the initial day or two of the upturn.  

These signals ideally have a time horizon of 1-4 weeks.  

Symbol Buy Sell 500 200 125 50
AMX 1 0 1 0 0 0
APA.O 1 0 1 0 0 0
AYRO.O 1 0 0 0 1 0
BP 1 0 0 0 0 1
CF 1 0 0 0 0 1
CWH 1 0 0 0 0 1
EIX 1 0 0 0 1 0
ENPH.O 1 0 0 0 1 0
EPD 1 0 0 0 0 1
HRL 1 0 0 0 1 0
ILF 1 0 0 0 1 1
LTHM.K 1 0 0 0 0 1
MFH.O 1 0 0 0 0 1
OXY 1 0 1 0 0 1
PSTG.K 1 0 0 0 1 0
QFIN.O 1 0 0 0 0 1
RDFN.O 1 0 0 0 1 0
SAND.K 1 0 0 0 1 0
SUNW.O 1 0 0 0 0 1
SWI 1 0 0 0 1 0
THC 1 0 0 0 0 1
VCIT.O 1 0 1 0 0 0
VLDR.O 1 0 1 0 0 0
VTR 1 0 0 0 0 1
XOP 1 0 0 0 0 1
ABBV.K 0 1 0 0 0 1
ALT.O 0 1 0 1 0 0
ALXN.O 0 1 0 0 0 1
APHA.O 0 1 0 0 0 1
BAX 0 1 1 0 0 0
DUST.K 0 1 0 0 1 0
EWJ 0 1 0 0 0 1
JDST.K 0 1 0 0 0 1
OSUR.O 0 1 0 0 0 1
PCG 0 1 0 0 1 0
UMC 0 1 0 0 0 1
UNIT.O 0 1 0 0 1 0
VZ 0 1 0 1 0 0
Totals 25 13        

The last 4 columns are for the time frame of the support or resistance line around which the signals were triggered.

Ignore the .O and .K These are peculiar to Reuters data. 

I initially screen 9000 NYSE and NADSACS issues for stocks that have been trading more than 1 million shares per day and are trading above $6. There are normally between 30 and 100 results, depending on where we are in the cycle. There are more signals at cyclical turning points and fewer as a move progresses. Monday looked like a significant turning point. Fool me once, shame on you, Mr. Market. 

I use these screens to pick stocks for my ready list for my personal trading, and also for my weekly swing trade chart picks for Technical Trader subscribers.

I developed the algorithm to hunt for stocks that looked primed to have a good move, ideally over a period of 4 weeks. In practice they range from 1 week to 7 weeks. I consider the move finished when they break trend support, using the indicators from which the screen program is constructed. 

From the screen output I visually review the charts. I make my picks from that review.

There are usually between 2 and 8 good looking setups every day. The numbers are bigger around intermediate term turning points. 

 

 

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