sandy beach Posted January 29, 2019 Report Share Posted January 29, 2019 26 minutes ago, fxfox said: This is absolutely correct. In fact 1981 was an idiotic mistake. It was THE black swan of the black swans. It wasnt Oct 87 like most believe. I think 1981 was great. After having suffering through massive inflation in the 1970's I couldn't wait for it to end. It ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fxfox Posted January 29, 2019 Report Share Posted January 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, sandy beach said: I think 1981 was great. After having suffering through massive inflation in the 1970's I couldn't wait for it to end. It ended. The inflation didnt end because Volcker hiked like a maniac. But that is what most believe. That‘s why hes a hero for many. 30 yesrs later. Volcker would have done the same as Bernanke did. Circumstances... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jorma Posted January 29, 2019 Report Share Posted January 29, 2019 1 hour ago, sandy beach said: I think 1981 was great. After having suffering through massive inflation in the 1970's I couldn't wait for it to end. It ended. I am agnostic on this. The cycle of rising inflation and rates was due to end. The starving of the short end acted as the bell announcing the end. Coincident or causal you decide. As to Volker doing a Greenspan I don't think so. On Black Monday probably. After that with words, not so much. Just around that time my nacent interest in such things ended. I couldn't figure out what was going on since I was still in the Dr Doom school. I didn't know that school was closed. Now, in so many words , I am thinking the old XXX hundreds of years interest rate cycle is dead. Courtesy of central banks. If not dead then truncated. Lower highs and lower lows. Then I look over at that 90 day T bill chart. Where is the Fed in the bill market? Lee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jorma Posted January 29, 2019 Report Share Posted January 29, 2019 I predict Powell will not serve out his term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sandy beach Posted January 30, 2019 Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 26 minutes ago, Jorma said: I predict Powell will not serve out his term. That would be intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aussiebear Posted January 30, 2019 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2019 ---> Wizened Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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