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World Stock Market Trading Discussion - Sedate scuffling

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12 minutes ago, fxfox said:

When bad news is bullish it means that there is enough liqui. 

Where does it come from? Who knows. Arbabs, China... There are many sources of liqui which Doc can‘t cover in his outstanding CB anslysis.

2640/50 must hold, or bears will be in absolutely deep shit.

In the big scheme of things it doesn't take much to move stocks when you consider they can be lead higher by futures and derivatives. At least within an old range.

I noted that last Friday and this AM in China the SSE opened lower and then up it went. Nobody doubts the National Team calls the tune there and everyone loves it.  China has been extremely patient as stock have sold off over the last year.  As opposed to us where the whining never stops .

I also was bitching about how China is saying it will have $650bn in local government credit extended for infrastructure while we have none. That is wrong. Between Munis and what the Fed spends it may come close to that. The thing is they get a lot more bang for the buck with it. 

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52 minutes ago, fxfox said:

When bad news is bullish it means that there is enough liqui. 

Where does it come from? Who knows. Arbabs, China... There are many sources of liqui which Doc can‘t cover in his outstanding CB anslysis.

2640/50 must hold, or bears will be in absolutely deep shit.

I explained that here.

Orderly Selling Destroys Liquidity But Panic Selling Spins Off A Cash Build  

Quote

But there’s a difference between orderly selling and panic selling. December saw real panic, and in selling panics, more sellers are raising cash than are simply paying off margin loans. The cash from that selling flooded into bank accounts and money market funds in December. Institutional and retail money market funds saw $100 billion in combined net inflows. Total deposits, both checking and savings, in commercial banks also rose by $105 billion.

That means that total money liquidity in the US system rose by $205 billion during the month. That was a lot more than Treasury issuance in December. So suddenly there was lots of fuel sloshing around just waiting for a match to be lit.

 

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At the same time, over the past 5 weeks, thanks to the government shutdown, the Treasury has paid down $99 billion in T-bills when it was supposed to be raising money.  

There's a tsumani of liquidity out there, but when the wave goes back out, it will leave behind unimagineable destruction.  

https://suremoneyinvestor.com/2019/01/wall-street-teases-you-about-a-rate-pause-but-whats-really-short-term-bullish-will-shock-you/#deeplink

 

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I stand by my research. I'm not guessing.  

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OK, I just got a top signal. A subscriber who subscribes to all WSE services just cancelled all his subscriptions and said he liked Yardeni's work better.  

Yardeni! The permabull! 

Sell everything.  

😄😄😄

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3 day cycle projection  pulled down to 2615. That's close enough huh! 

 

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Best market indicator of the past 6 months has been Channeling Vix dot com, which I feature in the Pro Trader Market Updates.  http://wallstreetexaminer.com/category/professional-edition-3/todays-markets-professional-edition/

 

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2 day cycle downside projection 2597, done. 

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5 day cycle upside projection canceled. 5 day cycle oscillator in a Youuge negative divergence. A sell tick here would be big. Hourly bar ending below 2589 this hour would break. 

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Bounced right off the 5 and 13 day cycle lines at 2596. They need to take that out. 

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„No deal Brexit“ is bullish... 🙄 I have no words for that crap anymore.

Fact is: No deal Brexit is catastrophically bearish for the UK. 10 years from now they will eat their hair from each other in the Liverpool slums.

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