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THOUGHTS ON THE BEAR

Why there was no Christmas rally?

Too much Bear....in such a market all news (including good news) is bad news

Thats why Mnuchin's attempt at a good news story about calling the PPT.

Turned into a bad news story.

The Trump bump and corporate tax cut was the final overvaluation push that set the market up for the bear market.

The tax cut while short term bullish was actually long term bearish as it added to the deficit and pushed up interest rates which pushed down stocks!!!!!!!!!!

All the Synthetic QE from Trump or Mnuchin will not be effective.

Synthetic QE is only effective in BULL markets not BEAR ones.

The thing they really need to do is cut the budget deficit to take the pressure off interest rates.

But they wont do that.

So its back to more printing.

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