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aussiebear

World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Silent screams

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Classic double bottom with  positive divergence on  the 5 day. Will probability prevail, or does this start the new paradigm? 

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Awful year for hedge funds. They have to stay liquid this time of year anyway for redemption.   

As to the new paradigm stuff it  is here.  Rising rates. Every interest rate in the known universe is in an uptrend. It's perniciously deflationary, as the 35 year trip down with rates was inflationary as the assets had an inflationary bias.

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1 hour ago, Jorma said:

Awful year for hedge funds. They have to stay liquid this time of year anyway for redemption.   

As to the new paradigm stuff it  is here.  Rising rates. Every interest rate in the known universe is in an uptrend. It's perniciously deflationary, as the 35 year trip down with rates was inflationary as the assets had an inflationary bias.

35 years of debt expansion serviced and managed by rates dropping to zero and beyond....Major inflection point favors massive Deflation.

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11 minutes ago, zero_value said:

35 years of debt expansion serviced and managed by rates dropping to zero and beyond....Major inflection point favors massive Deflation.

Massive, no.  They will print. I'm starting to feel like 08 when by all rights Bernanke should have been going home every night and curling up into a fetal position, but he was as relaxed as could be.  Don''t the Fedheads know the political winds are blowing 100 mph, both left and right, for printing.  Not to mention the markets.   I've said it before, We can't deflate more than China. It isn't an option.  Not for political leaders, idiots nor wise ones. If there are any of the latter.

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THE PRINTING GODS WILL RISE

When you are this close to the event horizon of actual default the only way to save your self is:

By turning on the print engine and blasting away from the black hole of formal default.

The FED has turned on this engine many times in the past.

Usually in the last years of or immediately after a war so that the economy can escape the debt gravity and actually grow.

Remember the FED currently prints at 2% per annum so it is already using the print engine to default on its debts.

The ten year bond, even at 3%, after inflation and tax still provides no real return.

They are a terrible "investment".

 

 

 

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The markets have been trained for so many years that the Fed has its back blindly this has changed for the moment so few have grasped.

Liquidity is not in the markets favor leading to the start of asset deflation until this changes Deflation will gain strength.

Position accordingly.

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