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SiP

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Everything posted by SiP

  1. ES testing support line. Next one big is at 2320😲
  2. Tomorrow is ECB day Maybe they will announce big QE. Scheduled meeting. Im looking for for big move. The question is - which side, up or down. Dunno. ECB day should strongly move the market.
  3. Dear Fx FOX. Of course I'm biased since I live in EM but believe me. If there is panic, there a huge moves in PLN and HUF. They are not pegged. There is no ERM2 corridor, Poland will not change PLN to EUR. Do you see the spikes in the past? HUGE move in 2008 (middle of screen in XXI) or even than smaller one during 2012 (euro crises). Now we are flat. Its amazing. Stocks are sold off, bonds are bought but I dont see massive panic in FX. Of course there was move in EURUSD, there was some one bigger move in USDJPY, but for the last couple days, after 20% selloff I would love to see massive panic to belive that its a bottom. IF i dont see panic, I dont buy this selloff (longs). This means, at least for me, that this sell off will last longer. with some ups but more downs.
  4. Sure, everyone knows that. Closing longs in funding currency. Most of them were located in bonds and stocks Im talking about something different. Im talking about big moves in EM FX. I dont see them. Take a look at USDPLN USDHUF. Some build up in USDMXN USDZAR but nothing amazing and panic.
  5. On forex side, I dont see any dislocations. Thats strange. Just slow selloffs and derisking. No big JPY moves etc
  6. YEap, 2011 or something. Normally those lines are good. I would probably take some longs around those levels if we fast drop from here.
  7. May I recommend a quick dive to 2640 and test of 200 SMA? or 2670, 200 EMA on weekly SPX? That would be nice.
  8. 2720-2740 is a key support line if this is quick, but still, correction.
  9. GOLDMAN SACHS SAYS "WE BELIEVE THE S&P 500 BULL MARKET WILL SOON END" GOLDMAN SETS NEW MID-YEAR S&P 500 TARGET OF 2450 -- 15% BELOW THE CURRENT LEVEL AND 28% BELOW THE MARKET PEAK
  10. Nice place for closing shorts lots of R between 2550 till 2650. Without breaking it, we are still in bull market.
  11. Great read Is Zero Hedge a Russian Trojan Horse? https://newrepublic.com/article/156788/zero-hedge-russian-trojan-horse
  12. Doc, Warsaw sucks in terms of air quality. Warsaw is regularly in top 10 of cities with worst air quality. There are 30 Polish cities in top 50 (!) due to smog. Unfortunately, due to Democratic processes for the last 30 years (after the fall of communism) there wasn't any politycal party that wanted to stop this coal nonsense. We are the worst performance in Europe and the only country which didn't sign climate deal for carbon neutral till 2050. Zagrzeg and Croatia is way better, and Croatia has way better seaside. I would not talk too much about far right. It's just not true. Poles are very friendly. very. all the best to all of you
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