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SiP

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Posts posted by SiP

  1. 41 minutes ago, WTF said:

    1600 calling the XOI... will be watching for the break back below 1800... then the fall to 1600 should not take long.

    (barring a geopolitical event...)

    The broader markets are under the delusion that lower energy prices are a good thing... the reality will soon become apparent... 

    Why it should fall? Geopolitics favors higher prices for oil

  2. in terms of US health care, I heard from one guy that US hospitals or centers dont share data with each other. if true, thats great for them (building so called walled garden) but not for society (in europea there is initiative to build european data healthcare spaces

     

    In terms of market - Tech SPDR (XLK) keep doing new highs. Lately comms went up (telecoms like Verizon, T-Mobile US), and financial is doin still ok. Then Utilities went down, same for energy, staples etc. Its looks like classic boom frankly speaking from sector point of view.

     

    Bitcoin - nice bottom at 38k. really. its just so obvious level. if this is real thing (bull run) then we wont visit e. g. 35k on BTC.

  3. Market didn't priced in

    - back of goods inflation due to war

    - problem with supply chains

    - Taiwan war

    - collapse of China

    - renew of Ukraine war

    - populist movement in EU after EU elections (June 2024)

    I follow tech space and one thing still amaze me - they keep cutting the headcount. Google just announced layoffs, same in Switzerland (their hq). In Poland in h1 2023 Microsoft was laying of people, now again). So the earnings is delivered also on lower cost of operations. It's getting stretched.

    In terms of AI - the cost of processing is absurd. Most Of the services had to cost like 20-50 use at lease to cover the cost of computing. Most of the free AI apps will not fly. For sure semis are still the winner.

     

    Also I don't get at least one point. If there is so much risk associated with war, why oil stays flat? Shouldn't it reach at least 100 usd per barrel so energy stocks again are a bargain?

    Same for copper. If the whole world is going for war why copper stays flat? What metal do you need to make guns, trucks, tanks etc? The whole sector should go up.

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