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Everything posted by SiP

  1. So the #SPX 1. rally stop at 38,2 FIBO 2. now keep falling, 3. fall below 55 EMA/SMA 1H 4. fall below 38,2% of the last rally Man, this is really weak!
  2. GR8 paper! Evaluating the initial impactofCOVID-19 containment measures on economic activity https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/view/?ref=126_126496-evgsi2gmqj&title=Evaluating_the_initial_impact_of_COVID-19_containment_measures_on_economic_activity
  3. COVID stocks - Social distancing $GOOG $FB $NFLX $CGC - Remote working $ZM $MSFT $WORK - Household goods and food $AMZN $WMT $COST - Cleaning and protective equipment $CLX $APT $JNJ $MDT - Vaccines/cures/tests (HIGH RISK) $GILD $INO $MRNA $CODX $NVAX
  4. #COVID19 will stay with us, every Q or H there is lockdown. We’re not going back to normal https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615370/coronavirus-pandemic-social-distancing-18-months/
  5. bad news Europe’s infectious disease agency says coronavirus is likely to survive warmer weather https://www.neweurope.eu/article/europes-infectious-disease-agency-says-coronavirus-is-likely-to-survive-warmer-weather/?fbclid=IwAR3kWZhNYwLmZOfTeN6yuYWY3QFqvzlHYPEiMgOoqCXXvj8wM-ytHIjNWBs
  6. So they came back to 200 SMA/EMA weekly and 38,2% fibo at SP500. Closing March candle below 2650 is still bearish. In theory this is great place to short, or at least reduce longs.
  7. Markets are restoring their vitality. Liquidity is back, bonds market stabilized, jobless claims digested, EM FX rebounding, equities well bid.
  8. ES we are still in downtrend sold all longs. flat.
  9. Hoping to escape coronavirus, city dwellers are fleeing to California's deserts and mountains https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/hoping-to-escape-coronavirus-city-dwellers-are-fleeing-to-californias-deserts-and-mountains/ar-BB11zHSz
  10. For some perspective on just how fast the Fed is moving, it intends to purchase $625 billion this week alone. That’s more than the entire $600 billion second leg of quantitative easing that ran for eight months, from November 2010 to June 2011.
  11. Taken together, the programs are considerably more aggressive and have been done in quicker fashion than what happened during the 2008-09 financial crisis. By the time it finishes, the Fed could take its balance sheet to as high as $10 trillion, one anal cyst estimates. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/23/fed-is-helping-the-markets-more-than-it-did-during-the-financial-crisis.html
  12. GC futures / spot gold Highest basis since October 2008 $GC_F $GLD $GDX
  13. Banks borrow record $89.3 bln from BOJ's. The takeup was well beyond its previous record of $50.2 billion, hit on October 21, 2008, during the global financial crisis https://reut.rs/3afh3ab
  14. BTW, where is TJ? Probably he would be already having 200% leverage.
  15. Agree, buying basf already is a good call probably.
  16. chill out fxfox it's amazing how you react. Every day you change view. one day, we gonna die. the other day. we already seen the low. there will be bounce. During 1929 we had 20% or something bounces it's not the low. we are at 18k at Dow, 8000 at Dax and 2200 at sp500. We fuc..... have to bounce! it's already the fastest crash in human history. We have to bounce. I bought this week for 30% of dry powder some stocks, bought some gold on the test of the lower band of uptrend chanel (below 1500 on gold). we fuc.... have to bounce. i really do t
  17. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/23/this-was-the-fastest-30percent-stock-market-decline-ever.html This was the fastest 30% sell-off ever, exceeding the pace of declines during the Great Depression It took the S&P 500 only 22 trading days to fall 30% from its record high reached on Feb. 19, making it the fastest drop of this magnitude in history, according to data from Bank of America Securities. The second, third and fourth quickest 30% pullbacks all occurred during the Great Depression era in 1934, 1931 and 1929, respectively.
  18. DOW - monthly 18.300 is the first line (2014-2016) where we are now. I would love to see a bounce here. around 13.300 - THE LOW 1. Trend line 2. 300 SMA (same as 2009 low) 3. same drop as in GFC (57%) 4. 14.200 - peak of 2007 So in the end - 13.300 looks like the low for me
  19. I think you all should try this https://brrr.money/
  20. Federal Reserve announces extensive new measures to support the economy https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20200323b.htm
  21. BOJ record ETF buys today: they have pivoted from buyer of last resort to only buyer the only reason why nikkei225 didn't crash today'
  22. At the moment there is HUGE inflation in electronics. You cant buy logitech C920 or Logitech Brio 4K due to remote work and remote classes. The prices of cams went up from 100 to 200% up. and still no supply. amazing.
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