Investors on Wall Street appear to have gone "dry" through the statistically difficult months of February and March. Admittedly, March is not over yet, but this entire two-month period does not count as a particularly successful one on the equity markets. Meanwhile, this period this year has been quite lucky for equity holders. And if we look at the market from the perspective of presidential cycles then statistically the first half of the year, in a US presidential election year, should be weaker than the second half, with the trend taking a flat form. Meanwhile, the start of 2024 is decidedly positive and stands out statistically against other similar periods. So, will the remainder of the first half of the year 'break away' from statistics even more, or will it be a move towards confirming the statistical pattern?
